2004 AVERAGE GAME SCORE SEASON

2004 AGSS

R. Johnson, Ari 64.92
J. Santana, Min 64.56
B. Sheets, Mil 62.68
J. Schmidt, SF 62.03
O. Perez, Pit 61.20
J. Peavy, SD 59.69
R. Clemens, Hou 59.57
C. Schilling, Bos 59.42
C. Zambrano, ChC 59.20
C. Pavano, Fla 57.18
P. Martinez, Bos 56.52
L. Hernandez, Mon 56.17
C. Carpenter, StL 56.14
R. Oswalt, Hou 55.69
F. Garcia, CWS/Sea 55.68
M. Clement, ChC 55.40
O. Perez, LA 55.28
K. Escobar, Ana 54.38
D. Davis, Mil 54.23
J. Wright, Atl 54.21
J. Westbrook, Cle 54.18
A. Leiter, NYM 53.94
B. Radke, Min 53.86
T. Lilly, Tor 53.27
T. Hudson, Oak 53.20
R. Harden, Oak 53.11
M. Buehrle, CWS 52.76
G. Maddux, ChC 52.59
D. Wells, SD 52.37
J. Weaver, LA 52.18
T. Glavine, NYM 52.14
C. Sabathia, Cle 52.10
J. Lima, LA 51.94
B. Arroyo, Bos 51.94
J. Marquis, StL 51.33
J. Thomson, Atl 51.17
B. Webb, Ari 50.83
W. Williams, StL 50.82
J. Bonderman, Det 50.66
K. Benson, NYM/Pit 50.60
M. Mulder, Oak 50.43
D. Willis, Fla 50.41
B. Tomko, SF 50.13
R. Ortiz, Atl 50.13
B. Zito, Oak 49.97
A. Eaton, SD 49.87
E. Milton, Phi 49.85
P. Wilson, Cin 49.74
J. Vazquez, NYY 49.69
S. Trachsel, NYM 49.68
J. Suppan, StL 49.45
M. Morris, StL 49.22
B. Lawrence, SD 49.09
J. Lackey, Ana 48.96
B. Colon, Ana 48.55
J. Lieber, NYY 48.49
M. Maroth, Det 48.48
N. Robertson, Det 48.45
R. Drese, Tex 48.37
C. Lidle, Cin/Phi 47.81
J. Garland, CWS 47.76
K. Ishii, LA 47.71
M. Hampton, Atl 47.23
T. Wakefield, Bos 47.16
J. Contreras, CWS/NYY 46.83
C. Lee, Cle 46.76
M. Batista, Tor 46.75
C. Silva, Min 46.73
K. Rogers, Tex 46.70
R. Franklin, Sea 46.58
J. Moyer, Sea 46.55
J. Fogg, Pit 46.40
J. Johnson, Det 46.19
M. Redman, Oak 46.16
M. Hendrickson, TB 45.79
B. Myers, Phi 45.23
K. Rueter, SF 44.29
S. Ponson, Bal 44.07
I. Valdez, SD/Fla 43.87
J. Jennings, Col 43.79
E. Loaiza, CWS/NYY 43.74
S. Estes, Col 43.41
K. Lohse, Min 43.15
D. May, KC 43.13
D. Lowe, Bos 42.10
B. Anderson, KC 40.42


FORMULA

AGSS = (GS x50) + 2(IP after the 4th) + Outs + K – 4(ER) – 2 (UER) - BB

STEP I
You begin with the GS total of a pitcher. Matt Clement started 30 games

STEP II
The next step in the process is take the GS total and multiple that number by 50 (since the original GMSC starts out with a baseline of 50).

Clement 30 GS x 50 = 1500 which equals our GMSC Points for the Season.

STEP III
For the IP after the 4th inning you would figure out the total like this:
2 [IP - (GS x 4)]
Clement pitched 181 innings.
2 [181 – (30 X 4)]
2 [181-120]
2[61] = 122
122 points for IP after the 4th inning for the equation.

STEP IV
Simply figure the pitchers GMSC for the entire season.

Clement: 543 Outs/190 K/155 Hits/74 ER/ 79 Runs (therefore 5 UER)/77 BB

Clement = 1500 + Outs + 2(IP after the 4th) + K – 2(hits) – 4(ER) – 2 (UER) – BB
= (1500 + 543 + 122 + 190) – 2(155) – 4(74) – 2(5) – 77
= 2355 – 310 – 296 – 10 – 77
= 2355 – 693
= 1662

STEP V
You then take the final number from Step IV and divide that by the Games Started total in order to arrive out our final score…our AVERAGE GAME SCORE SEASON (AGSS).

Clement: 1662 / GS 30

AGSS = 55.40

What AGSS says is that for each start Clement made in 2004, his average Game Score was 55.40.

2004 TERA Leaders (Triple ERA)

(Based on 162 IP)


Player, Team TERA
R. Johnson, Ari 2.29
J. Santana, Min 2.56
B. Sheets, Mil 2.61
J. Schmidt, SF 2.87
J. Peavy, SD 2.89
R. Clemens, Hou 2.97
C. Schilling, Bos 3.08
O. Perez, Pit 3.16
C. Zambrano, ChC 3.21
C. Pavano, Fla 3.22
J. Wright, Atl 3.30
R. Oswalt, Hou 3.41
B. Radke, Min 3.50
T. Hudson, Oak 3.53
D. Davis, Mil 3.53
C. Carpenter, StL 3.55
O. Perez, LA 3.58
F. Garcia, CWS/Sea 3.64
D. Wells, SD 3.66
P. Martinez, Bos 3.66
J. Westbrook, Cle 3.68
L. Hernandez, Mon 3.72
T. Glavine, NYM 3.77
R. Harden, Oak 3.78
K. Escobar, Ana 3.80
M. Clement, ChC 3.84
B. Arroyo, Bos 3.86
J. Thomson, Atl 3.90
J. Weaver, LA 3.90
A. Leiter, NYM 3.91
K. Benson, NYM/Pit 3.94
M. Buehrle, CWS 4.04
B. Tomko, SF 4.06
G. Maddux, ChC 4.07
D. Willis, Fla 4.08
B. Webb, Ari 4.10
W. Williams, StL 4.11
C. Sabathia, Cle 4.11
J. Lieber, NYY 4.13
T. Lilly, Tor 4.16
R. Drese, Tex 4.25
A. Eaton, SD 4.33
J. Marquis, StL 4.34
J. Bonderman, Det 4.35
B. Lawrence, SD 4.36
S. Trachsel, NYM 4.37
J. Lackey, Ana 4.39
J. Lima, LA 4.43
M. Mulder, Oak 4.46
J. Suppan, StL 4.47
B. Zito, Oak 4.49
M. Maroth, Det 4.49
M. Hampton, Atl 4.49
R. Ortiz, Atl 4.53
C. Silva, Min 4.53
P. Wilson, Cin 4.55
C. Lidle, Cin/Phi 4.59
M. Hendrickson, TB 4.60
J. Vazquez, NYY 4.63
J. Fogg, Pit 4.64
M. Morris, StL 4.65
J. Johnson, Det 4.67
N. Robertson, Det 4.70
K. Rogers, Tex 4.75
E. Milton, Phi 4.85
B. Colon, Ana 4.87
K. Ishii, LA 4.87
T. Wakefield, Bos 4.89
J. Garland, CWS 4.90
M. Batista, Tor 4.92
K. Rueter, SF 4.93
M. Redman, Oak 4.99
D. Lowe, Bos 5.04
S. Ponson, Bal 5.05
R. Franklin, Sea 5.08
C. Lee, Cle 5.22
J. Contreras, CWS/NYY 5.26
B. Myers, Phi 5.26
J. Moyer, Sea 5.32
I. Valdez, SD/Fla 5.40
K. Lohse, Min 5.41
J. Jennings, Col 5.47
E. Loaiza, CWS/NYY 5.53
D. May, KC 5.57
S. Estes, Col 5.76
B. Anderson, KC 5.89




FORMULA

2004 ERA/ ERC /DIPS
Jason Schmidt 3.20 /2.37/ 3.03

So to get Schmidt’s TERA here is what the equation looks like.

Ex.

TERA = ERA + ERC + DIPS / 3
TERA = 3.20 + 2.37 + 3.03 / 3
TERA = 8.60 / 3
TERA = 2.866

So Jason Schmidt’s 2004 TERA is 2.87.

2004 DIPS ERA Leaders

(Based on 162 IP)

Player, Team DIPS
R. Johnson, Ari 2.44
B. Sheets, Mil 2.75
J. Santana, Min 3.01
J. Schmidt, SF 3.03
J. Peavy, SD 3.21
R. Clemens, Hou 3.21
C. Schilling, Bos 3.22
R. Oswalt, Hou 3.27
J. Wright, Atl 3.4
O. Perez, Pit 3.5
C. Pavano, Fla 3.56
T. Hudson, Oak 3.6
P. Martinez, Bos 3.64
B. Radke, Min 3.66
C. Zambrano, ChC 3.68
D. Davis, Mil 3.71
F. Garcia, CWS/Sea 3.74
R. Harden, Oak 3.77
J. Lieber, NYY 3.79
K. Benson, NYM/Pit 3.8
K. Escobar, Ana 3.81
C. Carpenter, StL 3.88
B. Arroyo, Bos 3.88
J. Weaver, LA 3.91
J. Thomson, Atl 3.96
D. Wells, SD 4
D. Willis, Fla 4.01
L. Hernandez, Mon 4.05
M. Clement, ChC 4.06
J. Lackey, Ana 4.11
W. Williams, StL 4.16
J. Westbrook, Cle 4.19
R. Drese, Tex 4.21
M. Buehrle, CWS 4.23
O. Perez, LA 4.24
J. Bonderman, Det 4.24
A. Eaton, SD 4.27
T. Glavine, NYM 4.28
J. Johnson, Det 4.28
C. Sabathia, Cle 4.31
B. Tomko, SF 4.32
G. Maddux, ChC 4.33
D. Lowe, Bos 4.36
B. Webb, Ari 4.4
B. Lawrence, SD 4.43
M. Hampton, Atl 4.44
C. Silva, Min 4.48
K. Rogers, Tex 4.49
M. Hendrickson, TB 4.49
S. Ponson, Bal 4.52
B. Zito, Oak 4.53
N. Robertson, Det 4.53
C. Lidle, Cin/Phi 4.55
T. Lilly, Tor 4.56
M. Maroth, Det 4.59
J. Marquis, StL 4.61
M. Mulder, Oak 4.66
J. Fogg, Pit 4.68
J. Vazquez, NYY 4.74
P. Wilson, Cin 4.76
S. Trachsel, NYM 4.79
A. Leiter, NYM 4.84
R. Ortiz, Atl 4.84
J. Suppan, StL 4.86
C. Lee, Cle 4.91
J. Jennings, Col 4.91
M. Morris, StL 4.92
B. Colon, Ana 4.94
K. Lohse, Min 5.01
J. Lima, LA 5.03
M. Redman, Oak 5.04
K. Rueter, SF 5.06
T. Wakefield, Bos 5.06
B. Myers, Phi 5.1
M. Batista, Tor 5.11
E. Loaiza, CWS/NYY 5.16
D. May, KC 5.17
J. Contreras, CWS/NYY 5.22
E. Milton, Phi 5.23
J. Garland, CWS 5.24
R. Franklin, Sea 5.26
K. Ishii, LA 5.44
S. Estes, Col 5.57
J. Moyer, Sea 5.63
I. Valdez, SD/Fla 5.64
B. Anderson, KC 5.66


*** To download a spreadsheet to do your own DIPS calculations go to Larry Mahnken’s website (http://yankeefan.blogspot.com) and look for DIPS WORKSHEET on the left hand side.


DIPS D&D Version

Let’s use Jason Schmidt’s 20004 season again. Here are his totals:
IP H HR BB K
225 165 18 77 251


(IP*2.35) + (H*0.805) + (HR*10.76) + (BB*2.76) – (K*1.53)
_________________________________________________
(IP*0.712) + (H*.244) + (K*0.096) – (HR*0.244)


Yeah, and this is the simple version!

NUMERATOR
(225*2.35) + (165*.805) + (18*10.76) + (77*2.76) – (251*1.53)
528.75 + 132.825 + 193.68 + 212.52 – 384.03
1067.775 - 384.03
683.745

DENOMINATOR
(225*.712) + (165*.244) + (251*.096) – (18*.244)
160.2 + 40.26 + 24.096 – 4.392
224.556 - 4.392
220.164

6837.745 / 220.164
3.106
Therefore, Jason Schmidt’s DIPS, Down and Dirty style, was 3.11 in 2004 (just off his “longer” DIPS total of 3.03 listed in the story).

2004 COMPONENT ERA Leaders (ERC)

2004 ERC LEADERS
(Based on 162 IP)

R. Johnson, Ari 1.83
J. Santana, Min 2.07
B. Sheets, Mil 2.37
J. Schmidt, SF 2.37
R. Clemens, Hou 2.73
C. Schilling, Bos 2.76
O. Perez, Pit 2.99
C. Pavano, Fla 3.10
J. Peavy, SD 3.19
J. Wright, Atl 3.21
C. Zambrano, ChC 3.21
D. Wells, SD 3.24
O. Perez, LA 3.26
C. Carpenter, StL 3.32
B. Radke, Min 3.36
F. Garcia, CWS/Sea 3.37
T. Glavine, NYM 3.43
P. Martinez, Bos 3.44
T. Hudson, Oak 3.45
R. Oswalt, Hou 3.46
J. Westbrook, Cle 3.46
D. Davis, Mil 3.49
L. Hernandez, Mon 3.52
R. Harden, Oak 3.58
K. Escobar, Ana 3.65
B. Arroyo, Bos 3.66
A. Leiter, NYM 3.69
K. Benson, NYM/Pit 3.72
M. Clement, ChC 3.78
J. Weaver, LA 3.79
B. Tomko, SF 3.82
T. Lilly, Tor 3.85
G. Maddux, ChC 3.87
C. Sabathia, Cle 3.91
J. Bonderman, Det 3.93
W. Williams, StL 3.99
M. Buehrle, CWS 4.00
J. Thomson, Atl 4.01
A. Eaton, SD 4.11
J. Lima, LA 4.19
D. Willis, Fla 4.21
J. Vazquez, NYY 4.23
J. Lieber, NYY 4.27
M. Mulder, Oak 4.28
M. Morris, StL 4.30
C. Lidle, Cin/Phi 4.32
B. Webb, Ari 4.32
S. Trachsel, NYM 4.32
R. Drese, Tex 4.33
J. Suppan, StL 4.38
J. Lackey, Ana 4.40
B. Zito, Oak 4.45
K. Ishii, LA 4.47
M. Hendrickson, TB 4.51
B. Lawrence, SD 4.53
P. Wilson, Cin 4.54
J. Garland, CWS 4.56
M. Maroth, Det 4.57
E. Milton, Phi 4.57
J. Fogg, Pit 4.59
J. Johnson, Det 4.60
R. Ortiz, Atl 4.61
B. Colon, Ana 4.65
N. Robertson, Det 4.66
J. Marquis, StL 4.70
T. Wakefield, Bos 4.74
M. Hampton, Atl 4.76
M. Batista, Tor 4.85
C. Silva, Min 4.89
K. Rueter, SF 4.99
K. Rogers, Tex 5.00
J. Contreras, CWS/NYY 5.06
R. Franklin, Sea 5.08
J. Moyer, Sea 5.13
B. Myers, Phi 5.17
M. Redman, Oak 5.23
C. Lee, Cle 5.31
D. Lowe, Bos 5.33
S. Ponson, Bal 5.34
I. Valdez, SD/Fla 5.38
S. Estes, Col 5.86
K. Lohse, Min 5.89
D. May, KC 5.94
J. Jennings, Col 5.99
B. Anderson, KC 6.36

In order to come up with ERC, a two-part equation is necessary.

A)
PTB = 0.89 x [(1.255 x (H-HR) + 4 x HR)] + 0.56 x (BB+HBP-IBB)
*PTB (Pitchers Total Base Estimate)

Let’s use Jason Schmidt’s 20004 season again. Here are his totals:
Hits HR BB IBB HBP BFP IP
165 18 77 3 3 907 225
*BFP = Batters Faced Pitchers (total batters against)

PTB = 0.89 x [1.255 x (165-18) + 4(18)] + 0.56 x (77+3-3)
PTB = 0.89 x [1.255 x (147)+72] + 0.56(77)
PTB = 0.89 x [184.485+72] + 43.12
PTB = 0.89 x [256.485] + 43.12
PTB = 228.272 + 43.12
PTB = 271.392

B)
ERC = [(H+BB+HBP) x PTB / (BFP x IP)] x 9 – 0.56

ERC = [(165+77+3) x 271.392 / (907 x 225)] x 9 – 0.56
ERC = [245 x 271.392 / 204075] x 9 – 0.56
ERC = [66491.04 / 204075] x 9 – 0.56
ERC = [.326] x 9 – 0.56
ERC = 2.934 – 0.56
ERC = 2.374

Therefore, Jason Schmidt’s ERC in 2004 was 2.37.